Flexibility Ch.35 Exam Questions - Valuation Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies 6th Edition Exam Pack by The book title does not provide the names of the authors.. DOCX document preview.
Chapter: Chapter 35: Flexibility
True/False
1. Regardless of the level of uncertainty, it is possible to value assets or a project using a standard discounted cash flow (DCF) approach or a stochastic simulation. However, in cases when managers can decide among different alternatives in response to certain events, contingent valuation approaches are useful.
Response: []
2. Flexibility is typically more relevant in the valuation of individual businesses and projects, as it mostly concerns detailed decisions related to production, capacity investment, marketing, and research and development (R&D).
Response: []
Multiple Choice
3. The value of flexibility is lowest when:
a) Uncertainty is high and managers can react to new information.
b) Uncertainty is low and managers can react to new information.
c) Uncertainty is high and managers cannot react to new information.
d) Uncertainty is low and managers cannot react to new information.
Response: [The need to be flexible is low when uncertainty is low. The value of the flexibility is low if managers are restricted from being flexible and thus cannot react to new information.]
Short Answer
4. List the three approaches that managers can take when flexibility is neither expected nor required to value assets or projects and the level of uncertainty under which each works best.
5. List the two contingent valuation approaches. Identify which one is more sophisticated and explain when the less sophisticated approach might be preferred.
Multiple Choice
6. Which of the following is NOT true concerning real-option valuation (ROV)?
a) ROV is theoretically superior to decision tree analysis.
b) In practice, ROV cannot always replace decision tree analysis.
c) In practice, ROV can replace traditional discounted cash flow analysis.
d) In practice, ROV is well suited to decisions in commodity-based businesses.
Response: [ROV cannot replace traditional discounted cash flow, because valuing an option using ROV still depends on knowing the value of the underlying assets. Unless the assets have an observable market price, an analyst will have to estimate that value using traditional DCF.]
True/False
7. A project’s contingent net present value (NPV) will always be greater than or equal to its standard NPV.
Response: [While standard NPV forces a decision based on today’s expectation of future information, contingent NPV permits the flexibility of making decisions after information arrives. This flexibility has additional value.]
8. The value of flexibility is greatest when uncertainty is high and managers can react to new information.
Response: []
Multiple Choice
9. Which of the following is most accurate concerning how a change in interest rates can produce an increase in the value of a project with flexibility?
a) It increases the present value of the cash flows.
b) A higher interest rate increases the time value of the deferral of an investment.
c) There is not any set relationship between interest rates and the value of flexibility.
d) Higher interest rates are more stable than lower rates and produce more stable cash flows.
Response: []
10. The option to abandon (or sell) a project, such as the right to abandon a coal mine, is most similar to:
a) A swap contract.
b) A put option on a stock.
c) A call option on a stock.
d) A futures contract on a bond.
Response: []
11. The option to defer investment, such as the ability of a leaseholder of an undeveloped oil reserve to defer development and investment until oil prices have elevated the value of the reserves above their development costs, is most similar to:
a) A swap contract.
b) A put option on a stock.
c) A call option on a stock.
d) A futures contract on a bond.
Response: []
12. The option to increase scope, such as A hotel designed so that the owner can easily diversify beyond lodging services, such as by adding conference facilities, is most similar to:
a) A swap contract.
b) A put option on a stock.
c) A call option on a stock.
d) A futures contract on a bond.
Response: []
13. Which of the following are components of financial options and also map to value from flexibility?
I. Time to expiration.
II. Forgone cash flows.
III. Uncertainty about the value of the underlying asset.
IV. Forward rates.
a) I and II only.
b) I and III only.
c) I, II, and III only.
d) I, II, III, and IV.
Response: []
True/False
14. Managing flexibility depends on manager’s ability to recognize, structure, and manage opportunities to create value from operating and strategic flexibility.
Response: [Managers should be able to recognize events that can trigger a change in decision and to make decisions because there is discretion for them to react to any event. They should also structure flexibility in a way that can be incorporated into a project so that it generates maximum value. Finally, they should be able to manage it by incorporating new information and adjusting any decisions made.]
15. Construction of a replicating portfolio can be used to value an option embedded in an investment opportunity.
Response: [The rationale behind the replicating portfolio is that if you can construct a portfolio of priced securities that has the same payouts as an option, then your portfolio and option should have the same value or price.]
16. Valuation based on decision tree analysis (DTA) should discount both components of the contingent cash flows using the risk-free rate.
Response: [Valuation based on decision tree analysis (DTA) should discount the contingent cash flows separately, using the cost of capital of the underlying asset and the risk-free rate for the payoffs and investment requirements, respectively.]
Multiple Choice
17. Which of the following are true with respect to using real-option valuation (ROV) versus decision tree analysis (DTA)?
I. ROV is recommended when the future cash flows are closely linked to traded commodities.
II. DTA is recommended when the future cash flows are closely linked to traded currencies.
III. DTA is recommended when most of the underlying risk can be diversified away.
IV. DTA is recommended when only rough estimates are available for required inputs such as the underlying asset value and variance.
a) I and II only.
b) II and III only.
c) I, III, and IV only.
d) I, II, III, and IV.
Response: []
Short Answer
18. How can managers decide which type of contingent valuation works best based on the types of risk they face?
Multiple Choice
19. Phased investments, such as a factory that can be built in stages where each stage is contingent on those that precede it and where, at each decision point, management can continue the project by investing additional funds (an exercise price) or abandon it for some estimated value, would best be categorized as:
a) A swap.
b) A follow-on option.
c) A switching option.
d) A case where option theory cannot apply.
Response: []
20. Which of the following most accurately lists the steps in the four-step process for valuing flexibility in the correct order?
a) 1. Estimate NPV without flexibility. 2. Model uncertainty in event tree. 3. Model flexibility in decision tree. 4. Estimate contingent NPV.
b) 1. Estimate NPV without flexibility. 2. Model flexibility in decision tree. 3. Model uncertainty in event tree. 4. Estimate contingent NPV.
c) 1. Model uncertainty using real-option valuation. 2. Model flexibility using decision tree analysis. 3. Estimate NPV without flexibility. 4. Arithmetically weight the three results to estimate contingent NPV.
d) 1. Model uncertainty using real-option valuation. 2. Model flexibility using decision tree analysis. 3. Estimate NPV without flexibility. 4. Geometrically weight the three results to estimate contingent NPV.
Response: []
21. A project has a 50/50 chance of generating either a positive cash flow of $1 per year forever or a zero cash flow. The discount rate is 5 percent. If the initial cost is $10, what is the NPV with the option to stop after the first year?
a) –$10
b) $0
c) $10
d) $20
Response: [Since there are no losses to avoid by stopping the project, the NPV is the same with and without flexibility: NPV = $0 = –$10 + (0.5 * $1/0.05) + (0.05 * $0/0.05).]
22. In the event tree used in the binomial approach to option valuation, at each node the value either increases or decreases by the proportion u or d, respectively. If the annualized volatility of the underlying asset’s value is 10 percent per year and the horizon is six months, what are the up-movement u and down-movement d values?
a) 1.0488 and 0.9534
b) 1.0513 and 0.9511
c) 1.0733 and 0.9317
d) 1.2505 and 0.8000
Response: [; ]
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Valuation Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies 6th Edition Exam Pack
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